Belmont Stakes Picks 2019: Vegas Chances and Predictions After Post Draw

Belmont Stakes Picks 2019: Vegas Chances and Predictions After Post Draw

Belmont Stakes Picks 2019: Vegas Chances and Predictions After Post Draw

ELMONT, NEW YORK - JUNE 04:  Belmont Stakes contender and Preakness winner War of Will trains with Exercise rider Kim Carroll up during a morning workout prior to the 151st running of the Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park on June 04, 2019 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)

Al Bello/Getty Images

The first 2 legs of the Triple Crown have provided a whirlwind of unforeseen twists.

The disqualification of Optimum Security at the Kentucky Derby and Bodexpress running without a jockey at the Preakness Stakes have been the two most talked about stories.

Saturday’s Belmont Stakes could leave horse racing fans buzzing about the race for very first place, with War of Will and Tacitus anticipated to go head-to-head from the start.

Preakness winner War of Will and Tacitus, who took third at Churchill Downs, are the 2 favorites to win the Belmont and start next to each other in the two outside posts.

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Predictions

War of Will and Tacitus Take Advantage Of Racing Together With Each Other

A strong argument can be made that War of Will and Tacitus are the two greatest horses in the 10- horse field.

After he was hampered by Optimum Security at the Kentucky Derby, War of Will came back 2 weeks later to accomplishment in the Preakness.

Winning two-thirds of the Triple Crown would be rather an accomplishment for the horse trained by Mark Casse, however Tacitus has actually had 2 additional weeks of rest to get prepared for the Belmont after sitting out the Preakness.

Charlie Riedel/Associated Press

The horse starting in post No. 10 comes from a strong pedigree. Tacitus is a kid of Tapit, who has sired 3 of the last five Belmont Stakes winners.

Tonalist in 2014, Developer in 2016 and Tapwrit in 2017 declared triumph in the Belmont, and Tacitus shares the very same jockey as Tapwrit.

Jose Ortiz’s experience of winning at Elmont Park two years ago and Tyler Gaffalione’s guidance of War of Will ought to help the 2 favorites go out to a quick start.

War of Will and Tacitus will have clean air to work with given that they begin on the outdoors, and they could use their speed to storm past the other eight rivals and set up a head-to-head battle.

If that is the case, there is no clear benefit that might separate the two. Tacitus has the much better string of arise from prior to the Triple Crown with wins at the Wood Memorial and Tampa Bay Derby, but War of Will is coming off a triumph at the Preakness.

Regardless of which horse crosses the line initially, the head-to-head battle would be the very best possible ending to a collection of races that has been odd to state the least.

Master Fencer Presents An Obstacle From The Within

Master Fencer has the third-best chances to win Saturday.

The sixth-place finisher from the Kentucky Derby has the opportunity to control the race from the inside.

Gregory Payan/Associated Press

Julien Leparoux is among the most experienced riders in the competition, but the one missing piece on his resume is a Triple Crown victory.

The experience of the Frenchman and the capability of Master Fencer to get to the inside line might be a best mix to pull off what would be considered as a minor upset.

The Japanese horse should be seen as a risk to War of Will and Tacitus because of the excellent closing speed he displayed at Churchill Downs on May 4.

But there is a chance Master Fencer gets captured up in the start amongst a few horses that will try to rate the competitors prior to the two favorites take control from the exterior.

As long as Master Fencer gets a tidy begin of post No. 3, he might position a challenge to the favorites.

But in order to leave Elmont Park with a victory, he needs an ideal race, including another strong close similar to the one from 6 weeks back.

Even if the start does not enter his favor, Master Fencer might utilize his closing speed to land in the top 3, which makes him a great choice for trifecta bets.

Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90

Data obtained from HorseRacingNation.com

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